Today’s notable extremes
Measured against each instrument’s own history, the day’s most extreme readings across all columns: Ethereum (ETH): rel volume 3.13x 20d avg (100th pct, since 2017 (3188 obs)); EUR/GBP: positioning net%OI +1.5% (near top of own 138w range (band tops at +1.9%)); Gold: 20d return +13.64% (99th pct, since 2000 (5685 obs)); Microsoft (MSFT): 20d return +26.60% (99th pct, since 1986 (9956 obs)); WTI Crude: rel volume 0.37x 20d avg (4th pct, since 2000 (6493 obs)).
Today’s most unusual readings
Ranked across every instrument by how far each reading sits from its own history: ETH-USD (rel volume, 100th pct); Gold (20d return, 99th pct); MSFT (20d return, 99th pct). See the full market screener →
What these signals did next
A measured record of what common technical signals — RSI, 52-week position, momentum, volatility — were historically followed by across our stock coverage, reported as fact including where a signal did nothing. See the signal track record →
Foreign exchange
11 major and cross currency pairs against their own history — momentum and volatility extremes, 52-week range position, CFTC Commitment of Traders (CoT) positioning, dollar sensitivity, and each pair's next central-bank decision.
- EUR/USD: 1.16932 (+0.17%) | RSI 72.94 (98th pct)
- GBP/USD: 1.36444 (+0.33%) | RSI 69.02 (95th pct)
- USD/JPY: 158.951 (+0.43%)
- USD/CHF: 0.79948 (+0.21%)
- AUD/USD: 0.71362 (+0.16%)
- USD/CAD: 1.37735 (-0.27%) | RSI 25.34 (2nd pct)
- NZD/USD: 0.59687 (+0.55%)
- EUR/GBP: 0.85672 (-0.18%) | positioning +1.5%
- EUR/HUF: 364.229 (+0.12%)
- USD/HUF: 311.82 (+0.03%)
- GBP/HUF: 425.31 (+0.36%)
Precious metals
Gold, silver, platinum, and palladium against their own history — price, momentum, volatility, 52-week range position, and each metal's correlation to the US 10-Year TIPS real yield.
- Gold: $4622.5 (+2.35%) | 20-day return +13.64% (99th pct)
- Silver: $69.39 (+2.00%) | 20-day return +23.82% (98th pct)
- Platinum: $1890 (+14.41%)
- Palladium: $1362.5 (-0.84%)
Stocks
35 US large-cap stocks across sectors against their own history — price, momentum and volatility extremes, 52-week range position, market beta and correlation to the S&P 500, and each stock's sensitivity to the US 10-Year TIPS real yield.
- NVIDIA (NVDA): $214.72 (-0.98%)
- Tesla (TSLA): $362.86 (+5.14%)
- Microsoft (MSFT): $483.24 (+0.43%) | 20-day return +26.60% (99th pct)
- Apple (AAPL): $309.35 (-0.63%)
- Amazon (AMZN): $258.63 (-0.57%)
- Alphabet (GOOGL): $344.82 (+1.22%)
- Meta Platforms (META): $549.9 (+0.75%)
- JPMorgan Chase (JPM): $351.58 (+0.01%)
- Bank of America (BAC): $61.69 (-0.28%)
- Goldman Sachs (GS): $1039.28 (+3.73%)
- Visa (V): $371.04 (+1.45%) | 96.3% of its 52-week range
- Mastercard (MA): $580.63 (+1.18%)
- Exxon Mobil (XOM): $165.11 (-0.63%)
- Chevron (CVX): $205.27 (-0.24%)
- Occidental Petroleum (OXY): $61.3 (-0.36%)
- Johnson & Johnson (JNJ): $270.24 (+1.07%)
- Eli Lilly (LLY): $1255.4 (+0.88%)
- UnitedHealth (UNH): $390.11 (+1.37%)
- Pfizer (PFE): $28.07 (+1.01%) | 20-day return +14.38% (97th pct)
- Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): $473.25 (+0.81%)
- Broadcom (AVGO): $368.45 (+1.21%)
- Intel (INTC): $90.07 (-2.24%)
- Walmart (WMT): $103.7 (-0.14%) | RSI 29.60 (2nd pct)
- Costco (COST): $947.74 (+1.52%)
- Home Depot (HD): $335.61 (+0.34%)
- McDonald's (MCD): $270.95 (+0.68%)
- Caterpillar (CAT): $827.9 (+1.53%)
- Boeing (BA): $214.2 (-0.42%)
- Lockheed Martin (LMT): $563.57 (-1.38%)
- Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B): $495.82 (-0.21%)
- Disney (DIS): $107.78 (+0.43%)
- Netflix (NFLX): $79.59 (-0.69%)
- Coca-Cola (KO): $91.1 (+0.66%) | 97.1% of its 52-week range
- Procter & Gamble (PG): $144.68 (+1.20%)
- Palantir (PLTR): $179.94 (+3.44%) | 20-day return +46.39% (95th pct)
Crypto
Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Dogecoin against their own history — price, momentum and volatility extremes, 52-week range position, and each asset's correlation to the S&P 500 and the US dollar index.
- Bitcoin (BTC): $75566.5 (+3.47%) | rel volume 2.67x 20d avg (99th pct)
- Ethereum (ETH): $2367.36 (+1.76%) | rel volume 3.13x 20d avg (100th pct)
- Solana (SOL): $89.33 (+1.93%) | rel volume 2.79x 20d avg (97th pct)
- Dogecoin (DOGE): $0.08274 (+2.88%) | rel volume 3.59x 20d avg (98th pct)
Energy
WTI and Brent crude against their own history — price, momentum and volatility extremes, 52-week range position, and the Brent–WTI spread against its own history.
- WTI Crude: $86.27 (-1.78%) | rel volume 0.37x 20d avg (4th pct)
- Brent Crude: $93.4 (-0.41%)
- RBOB Gasoline: $2.9963 (-8.17%)
- Heating Oil: $4.3357 (-3.23%)
- Natural Gas: $2.778 (+1.65%)
What it is
A daily snapshot of where a range of instruments — currency pairs, precious metals, and stocks — stand against their own history: momentum and volatility extremes, 52-week range position, positioning and cross-asset sensitivity, and each instrument's next scheduled catalyst. Every line is a measured fact with its own as-of date and percentile context.
What it isn’t
It does not forecast, recommend, or interpret. No signals, no “setups,” no views. The selection and ordering surface what has reached a statistical limit; the reader supplies the judgment. The aim is the cleanest possible set of facts.
Methodology
Every figure is measured against each instrument’s own history, not fixed thresholds, and each asset class is scored on the signals its data supports. The full method — the percentile approach, the per-asset-class signal set, indicator definitions, data sources, and timing conventions — is set out on the methodology page.
Why measure against an instrument’s own history?
A fixed threshold — treating an RSI of 70 as “overbought” for every instrument — assumes a currency pair, a metal, and a stock share one distribution of returns and momentum, which they do not. Measuring against an instrument’s own history sidesteps that: a percentile states where today sits within that same instrument’s record, comparable across instruments without importing any outside claim about what a given level should mean. The same reasoning drives the weekly-return correlations: because free daily feeds close their bars at slightly different times, a same-day correlation captures that timing mismatch as much as any real co-movement and washes toward zero, so resampling to one reading per week removes the artefact and leaves the relationship the figures are meant to show. Each is a description of method, not a threshold to act on.